About me

As a doctoral student, I conducted research at the Fraunhofer Institute for System and Innovation Research ISI in Germany and at the Vienna University of Economics and Business. My research interests were concentrated on regional development in the context of innovation processes. Having defended my thesis in 2015, I emigrated to the USA. I also had a chance to gain experience while working at the European Committee of the Regions in Brussels in 2017. In 2019, I started my journey with data after graduating in statistics and data science. Since then, I have gained experience as a statistician in the insurance and medical device industries.

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Data Analytics

In this section, you have access to the statistical analyses where I use Python, SAS, or R. I present the process of building predictive models step by step. The included code and data sets allow you to run the model yourself. I enjoy playing with plotting figures (especially in Python), so from time to time you can see some nice plots included to the analysis.

• Boston Crime Forecasting: Seasonal ARIMA and Prophet Models (CSV, Jupyter)
• Multiple Regression Analysis for the Blue Book Cost of a Used Car (Excel, SAS)
• Multiple Regression Analysis for Life Expectancy at Birth (CSV, Python)
• Forecasting S&P 500 Index: ARIMA + GARCH, Neural Networks, and Support Vector Machine Models (CSV, R)
• Logistic Regression, Random Forests, and SVM for Statistical Classification of Heart Disease (R)

Python for Economists

If you are interested in economics and want to start learning Python, the examples in this section may be helpful to you.

Python for Economists (Python scripts)

Publications

I have written several papers on innovativeness and regional innovation systems. These have now been cited by researchers from over a dozen countries on five continents. Moreover, both my theses have been dedicated to those topics.

Theses

1. GUST‑BARDON, N.I., 2015. Kształtowanie regionalnych systemów innowacji w Unii Europejskiej [The Development of Regional Innovation Systems in the European Union]. Doctoral thesis. Szczecin: Uniwersytet Szczeciński.
2. GUST‑BARDON, N.I., 2010. Innowacyjność polskich regionów [The Innovativeness of Polish regions]. Diploma thesis. Kraków: Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Krakowie.

Books

1. GUST‑BARDON, N.I., NIEDZIELSKI, P., 2016. Kształtowanie regionalnych systemów innowacji. Doświadczenia Polski i Unii Europejskiej [Development of Regional Innovation Systems. Lesson from Poland and the European Union]. Szczecin: Wydawnictwo Naukowe Uniwersytetu Szczecińskiego. ISBN 978‒83‒7972‒053‒8.

Chapters

1. GUST‑BARDON, N.I., 2010. Ocena poziomu innowacyjności wybranych krajów Unii Europejskiej [Evaluation of the Innovativeness Level of Selected European Countries]. C.F. HALES, ed. Ekonomia i zarządzanie. Rzeszów: Uniwersytet Rzeszowski, 19–30. Nauka dla Gospodarki. ISBN 978‒83‒63016‒02‒9.

Articles

1. GUST‑BARDON, N.I., 2015. The structural and functional analysis of innovation systems: outline of the Polish case. Int. J. Innovation and Regional Development, Vol. 6, No. 1, 31–60. ISSN 1753‒0660
2. GUST‑BARDON, N.I., 2014. Regional development in the context of an innovation process. Int. J. Innovation and Regional Development, Vol. 5, No. 4/5, 349–366. ISSN 1753‒0660
3. GUST‑BARDON, N.I., 2012. Innowacja w myśli ekonomicznej od ⅩⅧ do ⅩⅩ wieku: Analiza wybranych zagadnień [Innovation in the Economic Thought from the 18th to the 20th Century: Analysis of Selected Issues]. Acta Universitatis Nicolai Copernici — Nauki Humanistyczno‑Społeczne — Ekonomia. ⅩⅬⅢ(1), 105–120. ISSN 2080‒0339.
4. GUST‑BARDON, N.I., 2011. Innowacyjność w aspekcie regionalnym [The Regional Aspect of Innovativeness]. Nierówności społeczne a wzrost gospodarczy — Społeczeństwo informacyjne — regionalne aspekty rozwoju. Rzeszów: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Rzeszowskiego, 23, 50–63. ISBN 978‒83‒7338‒726‒3. ISSN 1898‒5084.
5. GUST‑BARDON, N.I., 2011. Polityka innowacyjna w Polsce [Innovation Policy in Poland]. Acta Universitatis Nicolai Copernici — Nauki Humanistyczno‑Społeczne — Ekonomia. ⅩⅬⅡ(403), 217–228. ISSN 2080‒0339.

Working papers

1. GUST‑BARDON, N.I., 2012. Regional Development in the Context of an Innovation Process. Working Papers Firms and Region. No. R5/2012. Karlsruhe: Fraunhofer ISI. ISSN 1438‒9843.
2. GUST‑BARDON, N.I., 2012. The Role of Geographical Proximity in Innovation: Do Regional and Local Levels Really Matter? Working Papers Firms and Region. No. R4/2012.Karlsruhe: Fraunhofer ISI. ISSN 1438‒9843.

Contributions

1. EUROPEAN COMMITTEE OF THE REGIONS, 2017. Territorial Analysis of the Country‐specific Recommendations. 2017 European Semester. Brussels: Commission for Economic Policy.
2. EUROPEAN COMMITTEE OF THE REGIONS, 2017. Territorial Analysis of the Country Reports and accompanying Communication. 2017 European Semester. Brussels: Commission for Economic Policy.
3. KROLL, H., BAIER, E., STAHLECKER, T., 2012. The Role of Universities for Regional Innovation Strategies. Regional Innovation Monitor. Thematic Paper 4.

Contact information

natalia DOT irena AT gust-bardon DOT org